How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (2024)

In this article, we’re going to explore how to calculate stock price using a variety of ways including from:

  • market cap (aka market capitalization)
  • the PE ratio (and other ‘Multiples’)
  • dividends, and
  • free cash flow

Let’s get into it!

How to Calculate Stock Price

Before we get into the specifics of how to calculate stock price though, let’s be clear onwhatthe stock price is.

What is Stock Price?

Stock price refers to the current market price of a stock or share. It’s the price at which the stocktrades at in the stock market.

There are a variety of ways to calculate the stock price, so let’s now look at the different ways.

How to Calculate Stock Price Based on Market Cap

We can calculate the stock price by simply dividing the market cap by the number of shares outstanding.

In other words, we can stay that the Stock Price How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (1) is calculated as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (2)

Let’s now think aboutwhy we can calculate it this way.

The Market Cap (aka Market Capitalization)reflects the market value of theequity of the company. It’s calculated as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (3)

Where How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (4) refers to the Stock Price, and How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (5) reflects the total number of shares outstanding.

We can rearrange the equation for market cap to obtain an expression for the stock price.

This is done bydividing both sides of the equation by How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (6), resulting in…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (7)

Okay, so you now know how to calculate stock price based on market cap. Let’s now consider a different approach and explore how to calculate share price using the PE ratio and other Multiples.

Do you want to find undervalued stocks?

Discover how to value stocks from scratch in our course on Stock Valuation (using Multiples).

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (8)

Real world data. Real world application. Check out the course and start identifying undervalued stocks without guesswork.

How to Calculate Stock Price from PE Ratio (and other Multiples)

Described as the “investor’s darling ratio”, the PE ratio (or Price to Earnings Ratio) is one of the most popular investor ratios. The PE ratio is calculated as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (9)

Where How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (10) reflects the stock price and How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (11) reflects the Earnings Per Share.

Using a similar approach we took when we learned how to calculate stock price based on market cap, we can rearrange the PE ratio equation to obtain an expression for the stock price.

This is done by multiplyingboth sides by the How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (12) so that we have…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (13)

The same holds for other Multiples or ratios. For example, if we think about how to calculate stock price based on revenue multiples, we’d start by identifying a relevant revenue-based financial ratio.

Let’s consider the Price to Sales ratio (PS Ratio), estimated as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (14)

Here How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (15) reflects the stock price as before and How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (16) displays theRevenue Per Share.

We can now rearrange the PS ratio to obtain an expression for the stock price as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (17)

How did we get this? By simply multiplying both sides of the PS Ratio formula by the How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (18).

This approach to calculate share price is actually applying multiples for valuation, which is one of the 3 main ways of conducting stock valuation.

How to Calculate Stock Price from Dividends

In addition to price-based multiples, we can also use dividend ratios and rearrange them to obtain an expression for the stock price.

Take the dividend yield for example. It’s calculated as follows…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (19)

Where How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (20) and How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (21) reflect theDividend Per Share, and as before, How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (22) represents the stock price.

Here again, the approach on how to calculate stock price from dividends is pretty similar to the approaches we’ve seen earlier.

Fundamentally, it’s just a simple case of rearranging the equation.

In this case, we can rearrange the equation to get the stock price formula as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (23)

Incidentally, this equation is actually similar to the (famous) Dividend Discount Model (DDM)!

Crack the Code of Successful Investing with Our Rigorous Finance and Investing Courses.

Stop guessing and start investing like a PRO.

Want to unlock the secrets of successful investing? Our rigorous finance and investing courses will teach you how to crack the code and make informed decisions based on real-world data and research.

With our All Access Pass, you’ll get expert guidance on how to analyse data, make informed decisions, and invest like a PRO.

Don’t follow the herd – join the ranks of rigorous, data-driven investors today.

Learn More

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (24)

The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) in its simplest form, expresses the price of a stock as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (25)

Here How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (26) refers to the dividend per share, as above. And How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (27) refers to thecost of equity.

And while there are many ways of estimating the cost of equity, for example, by using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), it can also be proxied by the dividend yield.

Put differently, the dividend yield can be seen as an appropriate measure of the cost of equity. In other words…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (28)

And since the cost of equity is one appropriate discount rate, we can also think of the Dividend Yield as an appropriate discount rate!

Importantly, this is justone way to estimate the cost of equity.

It’s not theonly way by any means.

One other way is to use the CAPM (as stated above). In fact, we use the CAPM in our own Cost of Equity Calculator.

There are other ways to estimate the cost of equity, and we cover these extensively in our Definitive Guide to the Cost of Equity.

For now, let’s think about how to calculate stock price from Free Cash Flow to Equity.

How to Calculate Stock Price From Free Cash Flow To Equity

In the “realm of cash flows”, there are broadly 2 kinds, including:

  • Free Cash Flow (FCF), and
  • Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) (aka “flow to equity”, “FTE”)

Note that this is ignoring the Accountant’s perspective on the kinds of cash flows, which would usually be:

  • Operating cash flows
  • Investing cash flows
  • Financing cash flows

While Free Cash Flow (FCF) is cash flow that’sfreely distributable to debtas well asequity investors, FCFE is cash flow that’s freely distributable to equity investors exclusively.

It’s very common for Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation models to work with free cash flow and free cash flow to equity.

If you’re looking to estimate the stock price from free cash flow, then you’re probably better off using FCFE.

That’s because, again, FCFE relates exclusively to equity investors, whereas FCF relates to both debt as well as equity investors.

Debt is largely irrelevant in the context of how to calculate share price. Debt is very relevant when calculating the value of thefirm (aka, the value of the company).

And yes, the value of thecompany is not necessarily equal to the value ofequity.

Remember, stocks areequity instruments. So you’ll ideally want to work with an equity-related cash flow.

Youcan also estimate the stock price using free cash flow, but you’ll need to make further adjustments and corrections in the model.

Essentially, you’ll need to subtract or remove the debt from your estimate of the company to get to an estimate for the equity.

And you’ll then take that equity estimate as your core proxy to estimate the stock price.

In a nutshell, though, you can calculate stock price from free cash flow to equity as follows:

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (29)

Note that this share price formula is a somewhat simplified approach in that it implicitly assumes that the free cash flow remains constant indefinitely.

How to Calculate Share Price With Non-Constant Free Cash Flow To Equity

If you’d rather not make the assumption of constant free cash flow, then you could write out the formula for the stock price using FCFE as…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (30)

As complicated as this might look, it’s actually pretty straightforward.

Rather than working with a single, constant FCFE, we can now work with different FCFEs at different times.

If you were to open up the share price formula above, you’d have…

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (31)

Calculating the “Correct” Stock Price

One might argue that this share price calculation (using FCFE) allows an investor to get to a “better” estimate for the intrinsic value of a stock.

But that’s not necessarily true.

At the end of the day, valuation is subjective, and both context and preference dependent.

We share more about this idea in our video on ‘Introduction to Valuation’, viewable here:

Wrapping Up

Hopefully, you now know how to calculate stock price quickly and easily.

Note that there is in fact a lot more to it than what we’ve shown.

For example, how do you know what the “right” free cash flow to equity value is? Or what the “correct” dividend value is?

And indeed, how do you know what the correct cost of equity is?

These are interesting and important questions. And the truth is, there’s no single correct answer to these questions. But it’s important to ask these questions nevertheless.

If you want to learn how to value stocks rigorously, and you want to build your own robust stock valuation system, then you should definitely check out the course below.

That’s a wrap from us for now though. Keep loving and learning Finance!

Related Course: Stock Valuation (using Multiples)

Do you want to build your own robust stock valuation system?

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (32)

Explore the Course

How to Calculate Stock Price (4 Main ways) - Fervent | Finance Courses, Investing Courses (2024)

FAQs

How do you calculate stock price? ›

The price-earnings ratio (P/E) shows the price of the stock relative to earnings. It's calculated by dividing the stock price by earnings per share. Earnings per share is a readily available number on most financial websites and the company's quarterly reporting documents.

What is the formula for calculating stocks? ›

In order to figure out the gain or loss, you need your purchase and sale price for the stock. Subtract the purchase price from the sale price. A positive result means you have a capital gain while a negative result means you have a loss.

What is the formula for predicting stock price? ›

For a beginning investor, an easier task is determining if the stock is trading lower or higher than its peers by looking at the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The P/E ratio is calculated by dividing the current price per share by the most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share.

What is the formula for investing in stocks? ›

Take the selling price and subtract the initial purchase price. The result is the gain or loss. Take the gain or loss from the investment and divide it by the original amount or purchase price of the investment. Finally, multiply the result by 100 to arrive at the percentage change in the investment.

What is the most accurate stock predictor? ›

1. AltIndex – Overall Most Accurate Stock Predictor with Claimed 72% Win Rate. From our research, AltIndex is the most accurate stock predictor to consider today. Unlike other predictor services, AltIndex doesn't rely on manual research or analysis.

What is the simple investing formula? ›

Interest formula for simple interest: I = Prt where I is the total amount of interest accrued; over t time periods at a simple interest rate, r, and where the original amount invested or borrowed is P. Principal: The principal is the original amount invested or borrowed.

Can you mathematically predict the stock market? ›

Yes, no mathematical formula can accurately predict the future price of a stock. Probability theory can only help you gauge the risk and reward of an investment based on facts.

Which methods is best used for predicting the price of a stock? ›

Predicting stock price with Moving Average (MA) technique

Commonly used periods are 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day MA for short-term, medium-term, and long-term investment respectively. Two types of MA are most preferred by financial analysts: Simple MA and Exponential MA.

How to predict if a stock will go up or down? ›

The price of a stock is largely determined by supply and demand. If demand is high, the price tends to go up, and if supply is high, the price tends to go down.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Golda Nolan II

Last Updated:

Views: 6270

Rating: 4.8 / 5 (58 voted)

Reviews: 81% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Golda Nolan II

Birthday: 1998-05-14

Address: Suite 369 9754 Roberts Pines, West Benitaburgh, NM 69180-7958

Phone: +522993866487

Job: Sales Executive

Hobby: Worldbuilding, Shopping, Quilting, Cooking, Homebrewing, Leather crafting, Pet

Introduction: My name is Golda Nolan II, I am a thoughtful, clever, cute, jolly, brave, powerful, splendid person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.